ARC WNBA
GAME PLAN
GAME PLAN
8:00 PM EDT · 2026-05-09
Spread · MODEST LEAN
ATL -3.5
Edge
+3.4
Market: +3.5
Model: +6.8
Total · PASS
Pass
Edge
+4.0
Market: 157.5
Model: 161.49
Team Profile
ATL
ORtg110.5
DRtg100.5
Net+10.0
Pace76.2
MIN
ORtg112.3
DRtg100.0
Net+12.3
Pace76.4
Quarter-by-Quarter Edge
Q1
+3.4
MIN
proj 40.7
Q2
+2.6
MIN
proj 38.6
Q3
+3.9
MIN
proj 41
Q4
-0.8
ATL
proj 37.2
Quarter Spread Plays
- STRONG LEANMIN Q1edge +3.4
- STRONG LEANMIN Q2edge +2.6
- STRONG LEANMIN Q3edge +3.9
Player Props
- MODEST LEANNapheesa Collier MINOVER 22.9 Points
Faces ATL's weakest defenders (Ezinne Kalu, Lorela Cubaj, Nia Coffey)
- MODEST LEANRhyne Howard ATLOVER 17.5 Points
Faces MIN's weakest defenders (Taylor Soule, Alissa Pili, Myisha Hines-Allen)
- MODEST LEANAllisha Gray ATLOVER 18.4 Points
Faces MIN's weakest defenders (Taylor Soule, Alissa Pili, Myisha Hines-Allen)
Same Game Parlay Ideas
- MODEST LEANMIN dominant game
- ·MIN ML
- ·MIN wins Q3
- ·Game UNDER
MIN leads net rating in 3 quarters; multi-quarter control tilts pace UNDER.
Quarter Splits + Clutch
ATL
Q119.0 pts-0.8(9/12)
Q218.7 pts-2.4(11/12)
Q319.7 pts0.0(6/12)
Q418.9 pts+0.3(4/12)
Clutch · Last 5 min, ±5
10-13 (43.5%) · net +0.1(7/12)
Top Defenders
- Aerial PowersD-FG% 34.6
- Haley JonesD-FG% 37.7
- Allisha GrayD-FG% 40.0
MIN
Q121.7 pts+2.6(2/12)
Q219.9 pts+0.2(6/12)
Q321.3 pts+3.9(1/12)
Q418.3 pts-0.5(9/12)
Clutch · Last 5 min, ±5
10-6 (62.5%) · net +1.9(2/12)
Top Defenders
- Diamond MillerD-FG% 32.8
- Bridget CarletonD-FG% 39.4
- Napheesa CollierD-FG% 39.5
Injury Report
ATL
- Brionna JonesOut · Knee
MIN
- Dorka JuhaszOut · Foot
- Napheesa CollierOut · Ankle
HCA 2 · Books 10/11Generated May 8, 7:14 AM